May 3, 2021

Gold to benefit from mounting US debt pile

Climbing yields, as investors rotate funds out of bonds into stocks, on increasing confidence in the economy, is the primary reason why the prices of precious metals gold and silver have pulled back in recent weeks. For now.
April 29, 2021

Gold, silver, inflation and Quantifornication ‘out the wazoo’

While precious metals have somewhat been subdued over recent weeks, there’s a storm brewing that could set gold, and by extension silver, on an upward trajectory once again.
April 21, 2021

Gold’s perfect storm

There’s an old saying on Wall Street: “Six percent interest will draw money from the moon.” And it’s true, but what is also true is, 1/ As long as real interest rates are below 2% gold is in a bull market and 2/ Real interest rates below 2% draw investors to gold.

Central banks know this, so do educated gold buyers.

With Treasury notes paying such low net yields, gold becomes an attractive investment.
April 14, 2021

Inflation, real interest rates revisited

Gold prices ticked higher on Tuesday after inflation data showed US consumer prices rose in March for the fourth straight month and inflation hit its highest level in 2.5 years.

The US Federal Reserve, whose dual mandate is to keep inflation in the “Goldilocks zone” of around 2% and to control unemployment, has been downplaying inflation, telling the public that even if prices rise, it will only be temporary.
March 27, 2021

AOTH stocks – project development stages and risk versus reward

When looking for an investment, the approach I take involves looking at the global, big picture conditions. I study trends, read the news, basically watch and listen to what’s going on in the world. Then I study the different sectors to select the one (or ones) that I think is going to match up well with the overriding, long-term theme. This is top-down investing.

The second part of my search for the dominant investment is a bottom-up approach. This is where I find individual companies, in the specific sector I have chosen to invest in.
March 23, 2021

Competition for energy and battery metals intensifying

Goldman Sachs says that the next structural bull market for commodities will be driven by spending on green energy.

The fossil-fueled based transportation system needs to be electrified, and the switch must be made from oil, gas, and coal-powered power plants to those which run on solar, wind and thorium-produced nuclear energy. If we have any hope of cleaning up the planet, before the point of no return, a massive decarbonization needs to take place.

In a recent report, commodities consultancy Wood Mackenzie said an investment of over $1 trillion will be required in key energy transition metals over the next 15 years, just to meet the growing needs of decarbonization.
March 14, 2021

The 50th anniversary of Nixon’s colossal error

It seems fitting that the year we are expecting to see an unprecedented rise in US government spending and money-printing to spur an economic recovery, marks the 50th anniversary of the end of the gold standard.

Done at the time to fight an economic crisis, we are still feeling the effects of this disastrous decision, five decades on.

In this article, we explain why President Nixon did what he did, and why every promise that unshackling the US government from the requirement of maintaining the dollar's value in terms of gold would mean for the United States, has been broken.
March 10, 2021

Global growth spurt, pent-up demand support higher inflation

The sell-off in bonds that has been tripping up gold prices may be over, with some investors anticipating the bond market will calm down, as appetite for US government debt revives following the sharp rise in yields.

“We think a big part of the bond-yield move has played out,” Wall Street Journal quoted a portfolio manager at PineBridge Investments. “At this level of yields, we do expect additional buyers to come in. That tends to stabilize the yield level.”

Gold bugs are closely watching what happens with Treasuries
March 5, 2021

Real interest rates and gold

Several factors influence gold prices (mainly the US dollar, gold ETF inflows/ outflows, inflation rate, bond yields, safe haven demand, physical gold demand, gold supply) but none is more reliable than real interest rates.

The demand for gold moves inversely to interest rates — the higher the rate of interest, the lower the demand for gold, the lower the rate of interest the higher the demand for gold.
February 25, 2021

Why now might be a good time to buy gold and gold juniors

2021.02.25 Gold has been taking a beating in recent weeks, the sell-off prompted […]
February 23, 2021

Commodities and soon Juniors in vogue

2021.02.23 Gold and copper are up, the dollar is down, and bond yields […]
April 7, 2020

Gold closely tracks debt-to-GDP ratio

2020.04.07 The debt-to-GDP ratio is an important metric economists use for comparing a […]
March 25, 2020

Negative real rates puts shine on Getchell’s gold

2020.03.25 A number of factors influence gold prices (mainly the US dollar, gold […]
March 14, 2020

Economic stimulus can’t save US from deflation and recession

2020.03.14 One of the worst weeks on Wall Street mercifully ended on Friday. […]
February 22, 2020

Gold and bonds soar on ‘fight to quality’

2020.02.22 Gold and silver prices went parabolic this week during a raging storm […]
October 19, 2019

The Coming Great Global Reset

2019.10.19 In the first quarter of 2019, global debt hit $246.5 trillion. Encouraged […]
September 4, 2019

Five Feet High And Rising

2019.09.04 How high’s the water, mama? Five feet high and risin’ How high’s the […]
August 5, 2019

Golden consequences

2019.08.05 The long-anticipated US Federal Reserve decision last Wednesday to notch interest rates […]
July 30, 2019

Why Trump’s low-dollar plan won’t work

2019.07.30 The slowdown in the United States, and throughout the world, has led […]
July 6, 2019

Quantifornication round 4 on its way

2019.07.06 Californication is a brilliant 1999 song by the Red Hot Chili Peppers. Many of […]
July 6, 2019

Quantifornication round 4 on its way

2019.07.06 Californication is a brilliant 1999 song by the Red Hot Chili Peppers. Many of […]
June 25, 2019

Bonds and equities versus gold

2019.06.25 North American stock markets continued to rise on Friday, as more investors […]
June 20, 2019

Why are central banks buying gold and dumping dollars?

2019.06.20 The US Federal Reserve, the country’s central bank, did what many expected […]
April 13, 2019

How central bank gold buying is undermining the dollar

2019.04.13 Ahead of the Herd has been digging into why central banks are […]
February 16, 2019

All the macro factors in place for a big gold run

2019.02.16 Gold markets were rocking on Tuesday, lifted by a basket of factors […]