August 20, 2021

Gold and the ‘taper tantrum’

2021.08.20 Gold prices are slipping as talk of a “taper tantrum” has investors […]
April 21, 2021

Gold’s perfect storm

There’s an old saying on Wall Street: “Six percent interest will draw money from the moon.” And it’s true, but what is also true is, 1/ As long as real interest rates are below 2% gold is in a bull market and 2/ Real interest rates below 2% draw investors to gold.

Central banks know this, so do educated gold buyers.

With Treasury notes paying such low net yields, gold becomes an attractive investment.
April 14, 2021

Inflation, real interest rates revisited

Gold prices ticked higher on Tuesday after inflation data showed US consumer prices rose in March for the fourth straight month and inflation hit its highest level in 2.5 years.

The US Federal Reserve, whose dual mandate is to keep inflation in the “Goldilocks zone” of around 2% and to control unemployment, has been downplaying inflation, telling the public that even if prices rise, it will only be temporary.
March 10, 2021

Global growth spurt, pent-up demand support higher inflation

The sell-off in bonds that has been tripping up gold prices may be over, with some investors anticipating the bond market will calm down, as appetite for US government debt revives following the sharp rise in yields.

“We think a big part of the bond-yield move has played out,” Wall Street Journal quoted a portfolio manager at PineBridge Investments. “At this level of yields, we do expect additional buyers to come in. That tends to stabilize the yield level.”

Gold bugs are closely watching what happens with Treasuries
March 5, 2021

Real interest rates and gold

Several factors influence gold prices (mainly the US dollar, gold ETF inflows/ outflows, inflation rate, bond yields, safe haven demand, physical gold demand, gold supply) but none is more reliable than real interest rates.

The demand for gold moves inversely to interest rates — the higher the rate of interest, the lower the demand for gold, the lower the rate of interest the higher the demand for gold.
February 25, 2021

Why now might be a good time to buy gold and gold juniors

2021.02.25 Gold has been taking a beating in recent weeks, the sell-off prompted […]
April 7, 2020

Gold closely tracks debt-to-GDP ratio

2020.04.07 The debt-to-GDP ratio is an important metric economists use for comparing a […]
February 26, 2020

Trump or Sanders? Both will pile up the debt

2020.02.26 Whether it’s a Democrat or a Republican installed in the White House […]
February 22, 2020

Gold and bonds soar on ‘fight to quality’

2020.02.22 Gold and silver prices went parabolic this week during a raging storm […]
June 25, 2019

Bonds and equities versus gold

2019.06.25 North American stock markets continued to rise on Friday, as more investors […]
August 9, 2018

Bond Market Bear Creating Gold Bull

2018.08.09 Gold is climbing as bond yields rise and the dollar falls, over […]