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July 6, 2024

Weekly Commentary – Credit Bubble Bulletin

The grossly imbalanced U.S. economy may be weaker – but not weak. It is certainly vulnerable. Yet I remain unconvinced that we are observing the start of a major downturn. Financial conditions remain exceptionally loose. Meanwhile, the bond market has developed a propensity for lower yields. Stronger data tend to be ignored, while yields quickly fall after weaker economic reports.

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