From Bloomberg
Canada’s Liberal Party has jumped into a lead in some public opinion polls on the eve of an election, as voters respond to Justin Trudeau’s exit and Mark Carney’s rise to lead the government.
Leger Marketing has the Liberals at 42% among decided voters, compared with 39% for Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party.
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#Canada’sLiberalParty
Pierre Poilievre seemed to be on an unstoppable march to political victory.
It was late December and Justin Trudeau’s government was in disarray. The Canadian prime minister had lost his finance minister, was deserted by key members of his party and had gone into hiding from the media. Poilievre’s Conservative Party, already well ahead in opinion polls, expanded its lead. As 2025 began, one projection had them on course to win two-thirds of seats in the country’s House of Commons, a landslide.
Poilievre can look back wistfully on that moment now. Trudeau is gone, Donald Trump has upended the world order, Canada is abuzz with talk about the president’s frequent threats — and the Conservatives’ lead has evaporated with little more than four weeks to go until election day.
338 Canada, a political data site started by a physics professor from Quebec, calculates that the Liberal Party, now led by former Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney, has an 85% chance of securing a majority government on April 28. On Polymarket, bettors give the Liberals a 63% chance of winning the most seats.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-29/trump-drama-drowns-out-canadian-conservatives-election-message?srnd=homepage-canada&sref=bsUD5q46
Canadians were ready just months ago to vote in a majority Conservative gov’t, because of Trudeau.
Then the mood changed. Today they no longer believe Polly/Conservatives is the guy/party to lead us.
WHY?
Well we are NOT talking Trudeau’s legacy anymore, that is not what is on Canadians minds.
Canadians are concerned about one thing – Who is best to lead us in our fight with the Orange Wonder. I think they believe Carney is the best leader for this fight.