What
is Happening with Cobalt?
Ahead of the Herd
As a general rule, the
most successful man in life is the man who has the best information
A strategic material
is a commodity whose lack of availability during a national emergency would
seriously affect the economic, industrial, and defensive capability of a
country – many countries classify cobalt as a critical or a strategic metal.
Cobalt made the short list of four metals
that the European Union chose to name as representative of the 40 metals it is
classifying as critical. The US is
the world's largest consumer of cobalt and the
US considers
cobalt a strategic metal. The US has no domestic production -
the United States is 100% dependent on imports for its supply of
primary cobalt - currently about 15% of U.S. cobalt consumption is from
recycled scrap, resulting in a net import reliance of 85%.
Although cobalt is one of the 30
most abundant elements within the earth's crust it’s
low concentration (.002%) means it’s usually produced as a by-product - cobalt is mainly obtained as a
by-product of copper and nickel mining activities.
Today 40% of the cobalt consumed in the world
originated as a by-product from copper production in the West African country
of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) - cobalt production in most
other countries is a by-product of nickel mining.
The
copper deposits in the Katanga Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo
are the top producers of cobalt and the political situation in the Congo
influences the price of cobalt significantly. The politically unstable Democratic Republic
of Congo contains half the world’s cobalt supply and represents the lion’s
share of anticipated future cobalt supply – the DRC’s 2007 output was equal to
the combined production of cobalt by Canada, Australia and Zambia.
In a nine billion dollar joint venture with
the DRC China got the rights to the vast copper and
cobalt resources of the North Kivu in exchange for providing $6 billion worth
of road construction, two hydroelectric dams, hospitals, schools and railway
links to southern Africa, to Katanga and to the Congo Atlantic port at Matadi. The other $3 billion is to be invested by China in
development of new mining areas. Approximately
half of known global cobalt reserves are in the
DRC, and close to 40%-50% of incremental cobalt production, over the next five
years, is anticipated to emanate from the DRC.
China is
extremely short of cobalt concentrates and needs to import cobalt concentrates
in large amounts every year. The leading global producers of refined cobalt are
China (39%), Finland (15%) and Canada (8%). China is a leading supplier of
cobalt imports to the United States.
The cobalt market is small in comparison with other base metals.
Consumers purchase cobalt through negotiated agreements, bids, and open markets
from producers, traders and to a lesser degree, government stockpiles and
private inventories.
Uses
Cobalt is a strategic
and critical metal used in many diverse industrial and military applications.
·
Super
alloys
·
Renewable
Energy Re-usable energy storage systems
·
Wear
resistant alloys
·
Magnets
·
Binder
Material
·
Thermal
spray coatings
·
Orthopedics
·
Life
Science
·
Catalyst
in de-sulfurizing crude oil and as a catalyst in
hydrogenation, oxidation, reduction, and synthesis of hydrocarbons.
·
Gas to
liquid technology (GLT)
·
Other
Uses - Drying agents in paints, de-colorizers, dyes,
pigments, and oxidizers. Promotes adherence of enamel to steel, and steel to
rubber in steel belted radial tires
Conclusion
LME Cobalt futures
contracts commenced trading on the London Metal Exchange (LME) on 22
February 2010. LME Official Opening
Stock 18th March 2011 was 248t. Spot price was US$37,500.00 tonne
China seemingly has most
of the DRC’s production of cobalt locked up, that’s up to 40% of global mined
cobalt.
Cobalt is classified as a strategic/critical metal.
With the recent strong support for electric vehicles
the use of cobalt in this sector alone has led to a formidable demand for the
element.
There is no doubt in this author’s mind that cobalt’s
profile will continue growing in the coming months and years.
Is cobalt on your radar screen?
If
not maybe it should be.
Richard (Rick) Mills
rick@aheadoftheherd.com
www.aheadoftheherd.com
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***
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***
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